Decisions and Elections: Explaining the Unexpected
Average customer rating: 4.5 out of 5 stars
  • Cuts through the hype on voting methods & paradoxes
  • Mathematician Bangs on the Pulpit: Circular Thinking Exposed
Decisions and Elections: Explaining the Unexpected
Donald G. Saari
Manufacturer: Cambridge University Press
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback

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ASIN: 0521004047

Book Description

This highly accessible book offers undergraduates and professionals a new, different interpretation and resolution of Arrow's and Sen's theorems. Using simple mathematics, it shows that these negative conclusions arise because, in each case, some of their assumptions negate other crucial assumptions. Once this is understood, not only do the conclusions become expected, but a wide class of other phenomena can also be anticipated. These include inter alia legislative cycles, supply and demand economics, statistical paradoxes, and diverse voting/election paradoxes.

Customer Reviews:

4 out of 5 stars Cuts through the hype on voting methods & paradoxes.......2004-03-17

This books cuts through much of the hype surrounding voting methods and paradoxes. Saari explains the primacy of the Borda Count when voters rank their choices. This will make the book controversial among devotees of other methods, such as Condorcet Voting, Instant Runoff Voting, and Approval Voting.

For example, Saari fully explains the paradoxes of Condorcet or pairwise tallies of voter rankings (A is ranked over B in the final tally if over half the voters rank A over B). This is due to the fact that a pairwise tally ignores the strength or intensity of a voter's ranking of A over B (is A ranked just above B? or is A ranked first and B last? etc.). Saari shows how to modify a controversial hypothesis of Arrow's Theorem in a reasonable way so that good voting methods, such as the Borda Count, do exist. However most other voting methods, such as those mentioned above, fail one or more of the modified Arrow hypotheses, and Saari shows how to construct voting paradoxes out of these failures.

Mathematician Saari has investigated other kinds of "social choice" paradox as well. However the quality of the exposition is somewhat uneven - sometimes there are brilliant illustrations of various phenomena, sometimes obtuse verbiage (I am a mathematician myself). This is an "undergraduate level" book which should accessible to a larger audience. I can recommend that Saari find a good expositer co-author to better reach that large audience.

5 out of 5 stars Mathematician Bangs on the Pulpit: Circular Thinking Exposed.......2002-01-16

In my humble opinion, although the copy editors should have been a little more attentive to some glaring typographical errors, this is a very important book, an important contribution to the mathematical development of the social sciences. Saari shows how one fundamental insight involving the subtle loss of available information when a whole is broken down into parts leads to surprising resolutions to a broad spectrum of mind boggling problems, dilemma's and paradoxes. Fundamentally, this book is all about recognizing cyclic thinking for what it is, and straightening it out.

Reading this book reminded me of another book I reviewed, titled _A Darwinian Left_, by Princeton University philosopher Peter Singer, in which he issued a call for "the development of a field of social research that shows the way towards a more cooperative society" (pg. 47). Singer should be pleased with Saari's book, as it makes a fundamental theoretical contribution along that line, and shows how to apply it.

The single most memorable part of Saari's book, to my mind (as something of a community activist), is Saari's analysis of the logic of a noise ordinance in Keweenaw County, Michigan. He uses this ordinance to illustrate how individual and societal rights can be logically consistent after all, in spite of a Theorem by another Nobel Laureate, Amartya Sen, which asserts something to the contrary. Another stand out, in my mind, is Saari's explanation of how the well known "Prisoner's Dilemma" is resolved by a slightly revised version of the Golden Rule: "Do unto others as they did to you."

Saari shows how Kenneth Arrow's seminal "Impossibility Theorem," which is often interpreted as a proof that can be no such thing as a fair and consistent voting method when there are more than 2 candidates, is based on fairness criteria which are inconsistent with one another. I learned in logic class that you can resolve a dilemma by eliminating an internal inconsistency of the argument. Saari does just that with Arrow's Theorem.

"Obviously," writes Saari, "whenever the actual conditions defining our decision procedures differ from what we intended, then unexpected conclusions and paradoxes can occur. This point, although obvious, is sufficiently important that I repeat it often enough to resemble a preacher banging on the pulpit." (pg. 26).

Many introductory math textbooks draw too strong a conclusion from Arrow's Theorem, and claim that it proves that a fair and consistent voting method is an impossibility when there are more than 2 candidates. To the contrary, his theorem only proves that there is no method which can satisfy all of his fairness criteria. In other words, Arrow proved that his criteria are inconsistent with one another. In particular, Saari shows that Arrow's "Binary Independence" criterion is inconsistent with non-cyclic outcomes. We must remember that "fairness" is not a strictly objective thing. It necessarily involves an evaluative judgment, and is based on questionable intuitions. Arrow's Theorem may be interpreted as providing a good reason to subject his fairness criteria to further scrutiny, to try to understand why his particular criteria are inconsistent with each other, and to come up with more satisfactory results with other elementary fairness criteria or axioms. Saari interprets and scrutinizes Arrow's Theorem in exactly this way, and comes up with more satisfying results. Among other things, he finds that, if Arrow's "binary independence" condition is slightly modified so as to require a procedure to pay attention to the strength of a voters preferences (he calls his version the "intensity of binary independence" condition), then the Borda Count procedure solves the problem and satisfies the theorem.

Now, I am no professional voting theorist, but I have studied this subject and his work in some depth, and I think Saari has made a very important contribution to voting theory. At least two other ground breaking voting theorists, Amartya Sen and Kenneth Arrow, have received Nobel Prizes in Economics for their contributions. It seems to me that Saari should the next.

Learning by Doing in Markets, Firms, and Countries (National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report)
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    Learning by Doing in Markets, Firms, and Countries (National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report)

    Manufacturer: University Of Chicago Press
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    ASIN: 0226468348

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    Learning by Doing in Markets, Firms, and Countries draws out the underlying economics in business history by focusing on learning processes and the development of competitively valuable asymmetries. The essays show that organizations, like people, learn that this process can be organized more or less effectively, which can have major implications for how competition works.

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    Learning by Doing in Markets, Firms, and Countries (National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report)
    Average customer rating: Not rated
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      Naomi R. Lamoreaux Daniel M. G. Raff Peter Temin
      Manufacturer: University Of Chicago Press
      ProductGroup: Book
      Binding: Paperback
      ASIN: B000OPFZI8
      LEARNING BY DOING IN MARKETS, FIRMS, AND COUNTRIES. National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report
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        Manufacturer: Univ. of Chicago Press,
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          D. H. Wallace , and Weikai Yan
          Manufacturer: CABI
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          Yield improvement is one goal of virtually every crop breeding program. Many programs concentrate on identifying the genetic traits responsible for higher yield and selecting each of them in the later stages of the breeding cycle. However, selection for yield directly is still the most effective method, since yield is determined by a combination of traits and environmental factors. This book presents a whole-system, or holistic model for the improvement of adaptation, maturity, and yield. Central to its thesis is a recognition that competition between several components of the plant system determines yield and other cultivar characteristics. The book examines this competition and uses the results to provide insights into plant systems in general. It then shows how to enhance the success of breeding trials by balancing different yield components while taking into account prevailing field conditions. Based principally on 25 years research by the authors, the ideas presented in this book are invaluable reading for crop physiologists and plant breeders.

          Experimental Approaches to Conservation Biology
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            Predator-prey interactions: experimental and field approaches.(SPECIAL THEME SECTION): An article from: Journal of Shellfish Research
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              Predator-prey interactions: experimental and field approaches.(SPECIAL THEME SECTION): An article from: Journal of Shellfish Research
              Michal Kowalewski , and Lindsey R. Leighton
              Manufacturer: Thomson Gale
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              Citation Details
              Title: Predator-prey interactions: experimental and field approaches.(SPECIAL THEME SECTION)
              Author: Michal Kowalewski
              Publication: Journal of Shellfish Research (Magazine/Journal)
              Date: April 1, 2007
              Publisher: Thomson Gale
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              Chile's High Growth Economy: Poverty and Income Distribution, 1987-1998 (World Bank Country Study)
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                Average customer rating: 4.5 out of 5 stars
                • very good
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                Amazon.com

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                Customer Reviews:

                5 out of 5 stars very good.......2006-02-03

                Great for someone who is looking to expand his knowledge of what is BI and how to use it to improve his performance results.
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                5 out of 5 stars Exactly to the point.......2005-03-12

                This book goes exactly to the point that hurts most of the companies even in this days of year 2005. It will take some time to define the standards in this BI industry but definitely this book marks the beginning of it. Other more detailed more sophisticated books might be written by others but the most difficult is to write the first one. Others inspired by this book will probably write new ones.

                2 out of 5 stars Not enough details to be useful.......2003-08-19

                I found this book to be very weak in details and concepts. It's easy to say that companies need business intelligence and throw around some very vague and general facts and examples. And that's what this book does. The case studies offer no details at all. If you've never heard of e-business or intelligence (basically if you've been living in a cave) then this book will introduce the topic at a high level. But if you're looking for more information you'd better look some place else. I know the author is the founder of Business Objects, but I just expected more from this book and was very disappointed.

                1 out of 5 stars No business intelligence, just business promotion.......2002-11-27

                While doing periodical research on the business intelligence subject, I found this book as a new acquisition at the university library; sorry, but it is a long white paper on the advantages and why to use a software tool for doing business intelligence, never minding about any data/facts that may be found out of the bits and bytes world: Informal sources? External data? Competitor intelligence? Who cares, if you want a 360° view of your customer, don't need more than a computer and some software--at the end, culture, attitude and pure business sense seem like a waste of time. Suddenly, I discovered why this bothered me: The autor is one of Business Objects' top executives! Now, it all made sense: It is like other books written by people who need to sell a product (and Business Objects is a good seller indeed) so writting down their way of seeing the world gets them a guruesque position in front of their customers and prospects. If you need to really learn about business intelligence, don't bother reading it: you can find lots of free white papers that cover the same subject in the BI software vendors web sites. Trying to understand business intellingence as something that needs nothing more than a software tool, leaving behind all the intelectual and analytical work to do, is equivalent to define mathematics as the use of a scientific calculator.

                4 out of 5 stars Should be read by all managers!.......2002-08-26

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                  Ross Edmunds
                  Manufacturer: Carswell Legal Pubns
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                    Manufacturer: Wiley
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                    Marketing has evolved rapidly both as an academic and practical discipline and is now regarded as a fundamental part of the activities of most progressive business and organizations. Strategic Market Relationships provides a re-examination of the nature and scope of marketing as a subject and develops ideas about how organizations originate, sustain and develop relationships with their customers and suppliers.

                    European Capital Markets with a Single Currency
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                      Manufacturer: Oxford University Press, USA
                      ProductGroup: Book
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                      GeneralGeneral | Popular Economics | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
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                      ASIN: 0198295391

                      Book Description

                      One of the greatest events in financial history will occur in 1999: the birth of the euro and the emergence of a unified European capital market. This is the first academic text to consider the medium term impact of a single currency on these markets. It tackles several key questions: Once the euro is in place, what is likely to change in European capital markets? How is the structure of the bond, equity, and derivative markets going to be affected? Are these markets going to be integrated? Is the disappearence of exchange rate uncertainty going to affect risk premium on the equity and corporate debt markets? Is the euro going to compete with the US dollar, and does this matter? Is the introduction of the euro likely to change the sources of competitive advantages of financial institutions? What are going to be the key factors for success in the industry? The European Capital Markets Institute commissioned a report to address these issues. Drawn from various countries and fields of research - banking, economics, and finance - the contributors analyse the structural effects of the introduction of euro on European capital markets.

                      Dimensions of Western Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey:
                      Average customer rating: Not rated
                        Dimensions of Western Foreign Direct Investment in Turkey:
                        Ekrem Tatoglu , and Keith W. Glaister
                        Manufacturer: Quorum Books
                        ProductGroup: Book
                        Binding: Hardcover

                        Strategy & CompetitionStrategy & Competition | Management & Leadership | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
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                        Turkey is an attractive location for Western foreign investment because of its emerging role as a springboard for foreign companies to access the newly emerging markets of Central Asia via entering joint ventures with Turkish partners. Turkey's own emerging potential and its market attractiveness for an incremental share of world foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows have also been confirmed by the U.S. government, designating the country as one of the ten Big Emerging Markets along with China, India, Russia and Brazil, which are expected to offer the greatest commercial growth opportunities in the 21st century due to their high economic growth and rapidly growing population. Tatoglu and Glaister provide an empirical analysis of the core dimensions of FDI activity based on primary data collected from Western multinationals engaged in either wholly-owned subsidiaries or joint ventures and from local Turkish firms which are the partners in joint ventures in Turkey. Written for scholars and students of international business, global management, and strategic management, as well as for executives who are actively pursuing international market opportunities and managers in Turkish firms seeking joint venture partners, this book provides a timely account of the key facets of Western FDI activity in Turkey. Tatoglu and Glaister analyze location specific influences, strategic motives, partner selection criteria in joint ventures, management control issues and performance.

                        Italy Export Import and Business Directory (World Expoer Import and Business Library)
                        Average customer rating: Not rated
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                          Manufacturer: Intl Business Pubns USA
                          ProductGroup: Book
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                          Italy Export-Import and Business Directory
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                            USA International Business Publications
                            Manufacturer: International Business Publications, USA
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                            Ultimate directory for conducting export-import operations in the country. Largest exporters and importers, strategic government and business contacts, selected export-import regulations and more
                            Italy Export-Import Trade and Business Directory
                            Average customer rating: Not rated
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                              USA International Business Publications
                              Manufacturer: International Business Publications, USA
                              ProductGroup: Book
                              Binding: Paperback

                              Exports & ImportsExports & Imports | Economics | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
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                              Italy Industrial and Business Directory (World Business, Investment and Government Library)
                              Average customer rating: Not rated
                                Italy Industrial and Business Directory (World Business, Investment and Government Library)
                                USA IBP
                                Manufacturer: International Business Publications, USA
                                ProductGroup: Book
                                Binding: Paperback

                                Exports & ImportsExports & Imports | Economics | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
                                GeneralGeneral | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
                                GeneralGeneral | International | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
                                GeneralGeneral | Industries & Professions | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
                                ASIN: 0739797344

                                Book Description

                                Strategic industrial, investment, and business contacts for conducting export-import and investment activity in the country. Strategic and practical economic and business information. Updated annually
                                United States-Italy Trade Directory and CD-ROM 1998-1999
                                Average customer rating: Not rated
                                  United States-Italy Trade Directory and CD-ROM 1998-1999
                                  Italy-America Chamber of Commerce
                                  Manufacturer: Italy-America Chamber of Commerce
                                  ProductGroup: Book
                                  Binding: Paperback

                                  GeneralGeneral | International | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
                                  GeneralGeneral | Reference | Business & Investing | Subjects | Books
                                  DirectoriesDirectories | Catalogs & Directories | Reference | Subjects | Books
                                  ASIN: 0967499208

                                  Book Description

                                  The United States-Italy Trade Directory is a comprehensive register of U.S. companies doing business with Italy. Published, since 1955, by the Italy-America Chamber of Commerce, it lists U.S. importers and exporters dealing with Italy including cross indexes of products, brand names and Italian companies represented in the U.S. Also included are members of the Italian Chamber network in the U.S., numerous other business and trade organizations and information on import and export rules, immigration and taxation. The above information is also accessible on the included CD-ROM.
                                  Italy: Business Directory
                                  Average customer rating: Not rated
                                    Italy: Business Directory

                                    Manufacturer: Business Information Agency
                                    ProductGroup: Book
                                    Binding: Paperback
                                    ASIN: 1418717487

                                    Product Description

                                    12,000 COMPANIES IN ITALY! Italy has a diversified industrial economy with roughly the same total and per capita output as France and the UK. This capitalist economy remains divided into the developed industrial north, dominated by private companies, and a less developed, welfare-dependent, agricultural south, with 20% unemployment. Most raw materials needed by industry and more than 75% of energy requirements are imported. Just a few facts: One packaging machine out of every four in the world bears the wording "Made in Italy"; Italy is the world leader in food technology machinery and technology, consistently exporting over 90% of their production each year; Italian farm equipment manufacturers produce the largest variety of equipment in the world; Italy is enjoying wide world repute in fashion production, and its fascinating and glamorous fashion style is internationally recognized. This excellent guide will help you to discover the Italian business community with its unique products. It lists top Italian suppliers and manufactures from all industries and sectors. Information provided includes key fields of information such as company name, location, contact information, contact name, industry descriptions, SIC codes, line of business, manufacturing indicator, number of employees, year established, legal status, subsidiary indicator.
                                    Italy: Business Guide to the Banks, Financial & Insurance Companies
                                    Average customer rating: Not rated
                                      Italy: Business Guide to the Banks, Financial & Insurance Companies

                                      Manufacturer: Business Information Agency
                                      ProductGroup: Book
                                      Binding: Paperback
                                      ASIN: 1418718866

                                      Product Description

                                      AN ITALIAN BUSINESS REFERENCE COLLECTION MUST! The directory covers around 3,000 registered banks, financial and insurance companies in Italy. It's the choice for completing your Italian business reference collection! Information provided includes key fields of information such as company name, location, contact information, contact name, industry descriptions, SIC codes, line of business, manufacturing indicator, number of employees, year established, legal status, subsidiary indicator.
                                      Italy: Business Guide to the Key Construction Companies
                                      Average customer rating: Not rated
                                        Italy: Business Guide to the Key Construction Companies

                                        Manufacturer: Business Information Agency
                                        ProductGroup: Book
                                        Binding: Paperback
                                        ASIN: 1418718858

                                        Product Description

                                        A list of approximately 1,500 Italian companies in construction fields. This volume offers up-to-date information about builders involved in private residence construction as well as industrial and military complexes, highways, railroads, bridges, tunnels, pipelines and communication lines. Firms which outfit and provide engineering support for the building industry are also included. Information provided includes key fields of information such as company name, location, contact information, contact name, industry descriptions, SIC codes, line of business, manufacturing indicator, number of employees, year established, legal status, subsidiary indicator.
                                        Italy: Business Guide to the Key Service Companies
                                        Average customer rating: Not rated
                                          Italy: Business Guide to the Key Service Companies

                                          Manufacturer: Business Information Agency
                                          ProductGroup: Book
                                          Binding: Paperback
                                          ASIN: 1418720275

                                          Product Description

                                          5,000 KEY SERVICE COMPANIES IN ITALY! Information provided includes key fields of information such as company name, location, contact information, contact name, industry descriptions, SIC codes, line of business, manufacturing indicator, number of employees, year established, legal status, subsidiary indicator.
                                          Italy: Business Guide to the Key Transportation & Communication Companies
                                          Average customer rating: Not rated
                                            Italy: Business Guide to the Key Transportation & Communication Companies

                                            Manufacturer: Business Information Agency
                                            ProductGroup: Book
                                            Binding: Paperback
                                            ASIN: 1418720267

                                            Product Description

                                            5,000 TRANSPORTATION COMMUNICATION INDUSTRY COMPANIES IN ITALY! Information provided includes key fields of information such as company name, location, contact information, contact name, industry descriptions, SIC codes, line of business, manufacturing indicator, number of employees, year established, legal status, subsidiary indicator.

                                            Books:

                                            1. Defence, Welfare and Growth: Perspectives and Evidence
                                            2. Demographic Responses to Economic Adjustment in Latin America (International Studies in Demography)
                                            3. Distribution and Development: A New Look at the Developing World
                                            4. E-Commerce: A Control and Security Guide
                                            5. Early Modern Capitalism: Economic and Social Change in Europe 1400-1800 (Routledge Explorations in Economic History)
                                            6. Economic Policy Reform: The Second Stage
                                            7. Elements of Forecasting (with InfoTrac 1-Semester, Economic Applications Online Product, Data Sets Printed Access Card)
                                            8. Emotional Decisions: Tradeoff Difficulty and Coping in Consumer Choice
                                            9. Entrepreneurship and Self-Help Among Black Americans: A Reconsideration of Race and Economics (Suny Series in Ethnicity and Race in American Life)
                                            10. Equilibrium, Stability and Growth: A Multi-Sectoral Analysis

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