Book Description
The explosive growth in computational power over the past several decades offers new tools and opportunities for economists. This handbook volume surveys recent research on Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE), the computational study of economic processes modeled as dynamic systems of interacting agents. Empirical referents for "agents" in ACE models can range from individuals or social groups with learning capabilities to physical world features with no cognitive function. Topics covered include: learning; empirical validation; network economics; social dynamics; financial markets; innovation and technological change; organizations; market design; automated markets and trading agents; political economy; social-ecological systems; computational laboratory development; and general methodological issues.
*Every volume contains contributions from leading researchers
*Each Handbook presents an accurate, self-contained survey of a particular topic
*The series provides comprehensive and accessible surveys
Customer Reviews:
An Invaluable Resource for Practicing and Novice Agent-based Modelers.......2006-12-29
This excellent volume should be entitled "Explorations in Agent-Based Modeling," as a comparison with Volume I of the Handbook of Computational Economics should make clear. The earlier volume is an extremely mature product summarizing the application of computer-intensive mathematical techniques to traditional economic problems--a subject the history of which goes back to the earliest applications of computers during World War II. The volume under review, Volume II, has a completely different character. Agent-based modeling is a young and vigorous, rather than a mature and technically plodding science. Mathematics, rather than being the central focus, tends to be rather a simple-minded tool, and the programming, rather than being of the number-crunching variety, tends to be a versatile and imaginative mirroring of real-world processes in silicon life-forms and object-oriented structures. The subject matter, moreover, is not limited to the bread and butter of traditional economics (computable general equilibrium, solving for Nash equilibria, macroeconomic modeling, parallel computation, dynamic programming, and the like), but rather explores novel themes in the interface between economics and the other behavioral sciences--especially in this volume politics, biology, and ecology. The chapters do accomplish fairly comprehensive literature reviews (but beware--in this fast-moving field some of the most important contributions are likely to be the most recent, and hence not referenced), but they are rarely technically detailed summaries of the state-of-the-art. Rather, chapters tend to develop themes that are particularly interesting to the author. This makes for a very readable volume, but I am not sure the appellation "Handbook" is truly appropriate.
Tesfatsion's first sentence in her introductory essay to the volume gets right to the point. "Economies," she asserts, "are complex dynamic systems." What, we may ask, makes an economy a complex dynamic system? For one thing, the complex economy is never in equilibrium, but is constantly subjected to shocks, both exogenous and endogenous, that affect its short-term movements. There are frequent local nonlinear resonances that lead to significant deviations of economic variables (prices, quantities, wages, asset prices) from their equilibrium values even in the absence of strong or systematic perturbations to the system. We see such deviations in many economic time series, which often have the "fat tails" characteristics of the power laws of complex systems, as opposed to the Gaussian distributions of Neoclassical theory. Second, in a complex (a.k.a. real-world) economy, the Law of One Price fails. For instance, in the European Union, the standard deviation of prices rose from 12.3% in 1998 to 13.8% in 2003, despite the extensive dropping of trade barriers and movement to a common currency over this period. A third characteristic of the complex economy is that it rarely, if ever, achieves the sort of optimality that can be attained in simple engineered systems. For instance, since economies are rarely in equilibrium, most production, trade, and consumption takes place out of equilibrium, and hence is Pareto-suboptimal, at least when measured against a complete information Walrasian economy that has somehow attained equilibrium.
It is evident, then, that standard Neoclassical economic theory, as taught in the college and graduate textbooks and developed in the mainstream economics journals, does not recognize that the economy is a complex dynamic system. If the first volume of this pair of Handbooks might be called "how to do traditional economics better with computers," the volume under consideration could be called "How to transform economic theory using agent based modeling." We can chart the following characteristics of the complex economy: (a) The complex economy is thermodynamically open, dynamic, nonlinear, and generally far from equilibrium, whereas the Walrasian economy is thermodynamically closed, static, and linear in the sense that it can be understood using algebraic geometry and manifold theory; (b) In the complex economy, agents have limited information and face high costs of information processing. However, under appropriate conditions, they evolve non-optimal but highly effective heuristics for operating in complex environments. There is no assurance that when faced with novel environments, individuals will shift efficiently to new heuristics. In the Neoclassical economy, by contrast, agents have perfect information and can costlessly optimize; (c) Agents in the complex economy participate in sophisticated overlapping networks that allow them to compensate for having limited information and facing formidable information processing costs. In the Walrasian economy, agents do not interact at all. Rather, each agent faces an impersonal price structure; (d) In the complex economy, macroeconomic patterns are emergent properties of micro-level interactions and behaviors, in the same sense as the chemical properties of a complex molecule, such as carbon, is an emergent property of its nuclear and electronic structure, or that thermodynamics is an emergent property of many-particle systems. In such cases we cannot analytically derive the properties of the macro system from those of its component parts, although we can apply novel mathematical techniques to model the behavior of the emergent properties. In the case of the complex economy, these higher level modeling constructs are currently largely absent, although agent-based modeling may provide the data needed to develop the appropriate mathematical tools. By contrast, the Walrasian economy has no macro properties that cannot be derived from its micro properties (for instance, the First and Second Welfare Theorems); (e) In the complex economy, the evolutionary process of differentiation, selection, and amplification provides the system with novelty and is responsible for the growth in order and complexity. In the Walrasian economy there is no mechanism for creating novelty or growth in complexity. In his chapter in this book, Axel Leijonhufvud develops the insight that many contributions to economic theory from the Marshallian tradition, effectively eclipsed by the influence of Edgeworth, Walras, and their general equilibrium successors, are echoed and developed in the agent-based simulations of economic dynamics.
Several authors address the question as to the epistemological status of agent-based models. It is indicative of the youth of this brand of research that widely divergent answers are offered. One such view is that agent-based modeling is an alternative to formal analytical economic theory. It strikes me that this is not at all the case. Rather, an agent-based model is a set of empirical data, and building such models is akin to laboratory experimentation. One can use the results of such experimentation to inspire theorists to construct analytical models in which one can derive logically the properties of the system observed in the laboratory. Or, if the complexity of the system precludes analytical modeling, one can make broad generalizations based on a comparative study of different agent-based systems. In principle, an agent-based model could provide an existence theorem for a particular emergent phenomenon, but in general there are sufficient differences between a mathematical model of a process and its agent-based implementation (for instance, real numbers are approximated by fixed-precision floating point numbers, and random numbers are approximated by deterministic algorithms with long periods), that the two models could have substantively different properties.
Representing ABM models as empirical rather than theoretical contributions is likely to improve the chances for publication in mainstream journals, and hence improve the communication among economists. Economic theorists often make the point to me that in reading an analytical paper, the assumptions and the method of proof are completely transparent, while an agent-based model must be taken on faith, since the model itself is not presented in a journal article, nor would it make much sense if it were, except to an expert in the computer language used. If the ABM is presented as a contribution to theory, it is easy to see why it is rejected by respectable journals: it is asking the reader to take the authors' assertions on faith alone. If the ABM results are represented as empirical data, this problem disappears.
When agent-based models are not accepted in mainstream economics journals, modelers tend to place the blame on the closed-mindedness and traditionalistic mentality of the reviewers. I consider this a very serious error, because it gives the agent-based modeler no means of correcting the problem. I think that it is almost always good advice to blame yourself when a paper is rejected, because the you is the only one with an incentive to change to meet the reviewers' criteria the next time around. The authors in this volume do not make this mistake, and several have valuable suggestions as to how agent-based models must be crafted to increase their scientific value (Robert Axelrod's suggestions are particularly incisive).
It is interesting that none of the authors appears to have noticed the inverse problem: agent-based models are all the rage in some circles, and many faulty models get past reviewers and are published in top journals, including Science and Nature. The fact is that if two researchers are given the same specifications and write the computer code independently, there is a very good chance their models will differ in substantial ways. There is simply no way for a reviewer to assess the quality of a simulation without spending a considerable amount of time going over the code. Moreover, I have found that researchers often bias code generation in such a way as to support their pet theories. The nature of this bias often cannot be revealed without a thorough inspection of the computer code. This sort of author behavior is not not necessarily due to our dishonesty, but rather due to our capacity to self-delude. If the ABM behaves the way we want it to, we leave the code alone. If it does not, we work over it to find out why. The resulting code is thus virtually certain to be self-serving and biased.
I do not know how to get around this problem. It is reminiscent of a similar problem with econometric research with complex data sets, where it is virtually impossible for reviewers to ascertain the significance of the results, especially in the case of economic time series. In the case of econometric analysis, the problem is attenuated if researchers are obligated to place the data in the public domain, making replication feasible. In the case of agent-based models, there is usually no "data" different from the model itself. It would be a step forward to require researchers to place their code in the public domain, so that the threat of public scrutiny might serve to attenuate the temptation to torture the code whose results one does not like, while coddling the code that reinforces our prejudices and expectations.
Another important issue not systematically addressed in this Handbook is the mechanics of producing an agent-based model. If the researcher does not do his or her own programming, clearly the researcher should generated a completely unambiguous set of specifications for programming the model. However, if the research does not know computer programming, this is impossible in all but the most simple cases. Even if the researcher is an expert programmer, he or she cannot pre-envision exactly how the model should function, since often one tries several alteratives for each piece of code, and one often does not know what the real dynamics of the model are until one has done considerable hands-on programming. For this reason, if I had my way, I would never accept a paper for publication that was not programmed by the researchers themselves, except for the simplest sort of models. Therefore, I believe training in ABM should include training in computer programming to the point of professional proficiency. I do not even accept using canned ABM software, because it is difficult to tell what the software is doing, the implementation is always painfully slow compared to a real computer language, and there are strict limits as to what can be accomplished with such software. However, I know that many leading ABM researchers disagree with this, and happily teach their students to use Swarm, StarLogo, and the like. Until this issue is thoroughly investigated and the truth sorted out from the myth, ABM will remain of limited value to the economic research community.
I commend the Editors for doing a fine job in addressing the needs of the ABM community, while producing a volume that can be profitably read by those new to the field. Nevertheless, there remain hard problems that must be soberly addressed before ABM becomes a standard part of the repertoire of economic researchers, and ABM results appear widely in top economics journals.
Customer Reviews:
So helpful we once owned an upstairs and downstairs copy.......2002-01-29
What is the best way to learn and be secure in your learning -- work a problem through with expert guidance. This book provides clear advice about what statistics to choose for what problem and then provides small data sets. You can confirm your capability by working the problem step-by-step with the authors -- that includes understanding the meaning of your result and drawing an appropriate conclusion. Students love it. Me, too.
A true friend.......2000-06-09
I also used the first edition of this book. Several copies of it in fact. The first two editions were true handbooks that were never out of reach from my desk (unless "borrowed") for over thirty years. I cannot recommend this book too highly to anyone who will be using statistics. May it be as true a friend to you as it was to me.
(But did the price have to increase so drasticly?)
A fabulous cookbook.......1999-04-12
I cut my teeth in statistics with the first edition of this book in 1968, back before we had computer programs to do our statistics for us. And I have kept the second edition on my shelf since 1977. The book leads the reader step by step through the hand calculations for all the basic statistics, and for some relatively obscure ones as well (such as tests of the difference between two correlations or between two proportions). These days, students of statistics go right to their keyboards, and the statistics come out a millisecond or two later. But if you want your students to see how these things are actually calculated, there is no better reference than this.
A fabulous cookbook.......1999-04-12
I cut my teeth in statistics with the first edition of this book in 1968, back before we had computer programs to do our statistics for us. And I have kept the second edition on my shelf since 1977. The book leads the reader step by step through the hand calculations for all the basic statistics, and for some relatively obscure ones as well (such as tests of the difference between two correlations or between two proportions). These days, students of statistics go right to their keyboards, and the statistics come out a millisecond or two later. But if you want your students to see how these things are actually calculated, there is no better reference than this.
Cookbook approach to statistics for novices/out of practice........1998-02-19
Had orginally purchased in edition in 1974; carried it with me for 24 years and then lost track of it. Remembered how good it had served me. One of few places I could find a point-biserial correlation. Step-by-step approach extremely helpful. Examples useful.
Book Description
The aim of this volume is to provide an introduction and selective overview of the rapidly emerging field of computational economics. Computational economics provides an important set of tools that an increasing number of economists will need to acquire in order to understand and do state-of-the-art research in virtually all areas of economics. Articles in the volume range from very applied, policy oriented applications of computational methods, to highly theoretical and mathematically complex analyses of algorithms and numerical methods. The book emphasizes the unique contributions of computational methods in economics, and focuses on problems for which well developed solutions are not already available from the literature in operations research, numerical methods, and computer science. As well as covering relatively mature areas in the field, a number of chapters are included which cover more speculative "frontier topics", in particular recently discovered computational innovations and research results.
For more information on the Handbooks in Economics series, please see our homepage on
http://www.elsevier.nl/locate/hes
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Handbook of Computational Intelligence in Manufacturing and Production Management
Manufacturer: Idea Group Reference
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Hardcover
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Manager's Guides to Computing
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ASIN: 1599045826 |
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Military Money: A Fiscal History of the U. S. Army Overseas in World War II
Walter Rundell
Manufacturer: Texas A&M University Press
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
Money & Monetary Policy
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ASIN: 1585440310 |
Book Description
Mirages, Oases, and Roadkill on the Information Highway seeks to provide a larger framework to understand not only the transformation of the information industry, but also how this industry is at the epicenter of bringing about what many refer to as the Information Revolution.
To do this, we assess the state of the communications marketplace by looking at its past, present, and future. For different sectors such as local, long distance, wireless, cableTV, and Internet and data services, we examine internal as well as external pressures, the role of disruptive technologies, regulatory machinations, global trends, customer needs, and competitive maneuvers. Those who read this book will gain a rare perspective on the complexity of issues that surround the communications industry. The authors also share their observations, insights, and lessons on various business dynamics and how they can be leveraged for future success.
Readers will develop an appreciation for how exciting the communications industry is today and will be for the foreseeable future. And finally, for those willing to follow along on this journey there will be the satisfaction of understanding what is happening in what is arguably the most important business sector in the world — not only for ourselves, but also our global society.
Book Description
This digital document is an article from Chief Executive (U.S.), published by Chief Executive Publishing on June 1, 1994. The length of the article is 876 words. The page length shown above is based on a typical 300-word page. The article is delivered in HTML format and is available in your Amazon.com Digital Locker immediately after purchase. You can view it with any web browser.
From the supplier: The information highway facilitates the easy creation, storage and distribution of data, text, images and entertainment through the integration of sophisticated new technologies such as high-speed networks, optical-based volume storage and commodity multimedia computer technology. Although this much-hyped phenomenon is government-sponsored and has a yet-to-be-announced deadline for fulfillment, there are no signs that it will be operational in the near future. Undermining the so-called information revolution is the absence of an 'Interstate highway system' or any equivalent infrastructure. Despite this uncertainty, CEOs should nevertheless prepare for this eventuality. They should educate their employees about the latest technology, utilize the Internet, use electronic messaging and leverage the value-added elements of technology.
Citation Details
Title: Roadkill on the information (super)highway. (The Soft Machine)
Author: Randall K. Fields
Publication:
Chief Executive (U.S.) (Magazine/Journal)
Date: June 1, 1994
Publisher: Chief Executive Publishing
Issue: n95
Page: p68(1)
Distributed by Thomson Gale
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Roadkill on the Information Highway
Steven Ludsin
Manufacturer: Writers Club Press
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Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 059514571X |
Book Description
The book describes the venal behavior of federal employees determined to stop a government contractor from making a million dollar commission by selling distressed government assets held by the US Small Business Administration and committing "econocide" against the entrepreneur.
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Independent Contracting: A Primer (Going Independent)
Robert M. Renes
Manufacturer: Eagle Pr Ltd
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Binding: Paperback
Management & Leadership
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| Business Ethics
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ASIN: 1883487242 |
Book Description
The book -- Independent Contracting - A Primer -- is an introductory to mid-level guide for technical people (i.e., engineers, programmers, writers, and others) who are interested in getting started in independent contracting/consulting. The book is a how-to-do-it manual on making the transition from regular employee to independent contractor. It is arranged in the sequence in which the various decisions are likely to be made and the actions are likely to be taken.
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Intercult Commun Global Workplace
Beamer
Manufacturer: McGraw-Hill Education
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
Workplace
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ASIN: 0071201963 |
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Intercult Commun Global Workplace
Beamer
Manufacturer: McGraw-Hill Education - Europe
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
Workplace
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ASIN: B000OGIYXA |
Product Description
Strategy consulting only represents one slice of the larger consulting piethere are other types of consulting, too. This guide focuses on three significant consulting specializations: human resources and IT, which are areas relevant and valuable to virtually any client company, regardless of its sector, industry, geographic location, or competitive position; and health care, a vast and complex industry that includes hospitals, medical schools, pharmaceutical companies, and other health care organizations. If you're interested in consulting but want to know about other options beyond strategy consulting, this guide will tell you what you need to know.
Book Description
Despite the technology sector downturn and the outsourcing trend, the Department of Commerce reports that IT professions are among the fastest-growing and highest-paying jobs in the economy. This WetFeet Insider Guide explores current industry trends, where IT professionals commonly find work, major IT job functions, and what industry professionals like and dislike about the work.
Download Description
Opportunities in IT exist across a broad range of industries--financial services, retail, libraries and schools, or just about any organization that has a website or is required to exchange or store information. In fact, despite the technology sector downturn and the outsourcing trend, the Department of Commerce reported last year that IT professions are among the fastest growing and highest paying jobs in the economy. You may have to work a little harder to find and get the job you want, but you can still find good opportunities.
Turn to this WetFeet Insider Guide to explore
- Current trends affecting the industry and their impact on job seekers.
- How the industry breaks down and where IT professionals can find work outside of the technology industry.
- Detailed descriptions of main IT functions, such as creative, engineering, support, and marketing.
- A typical day in the life of a director of engineering, a UI designer, a technology consultant, and more.
- The lifestyle, hours, and compensation you can expect from an IT career.
- What industry professionals like and dislike about the work.
- Who's likely to succeed and how to impress your interviewers.
Customer Reviews:
OK not great.......2007-02-10
The Wet Feet guide is a series, as such it was not written by someone that is actually in the field of IT. I highly recommend Ian K. Fisher's "How to Start a Career in Information Technology".
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Careers in Information Technology: 2005 Edition: WetFeet Insider Guide
WetFeet
Manufacturer: WetFeet, Inc.
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 1582074593 |
Book Description
Despite the technology sector downturn and the outsourcing trend, IT professions are among the fastest-growing and highest-paying jobs in the economy. This WetFeet Insider Guide explores current industry trends, where IT professionals commonly find work, major IT job functions, and what industry professionals like and dislike about the work.
Book Description
This WetFeet Insider Guide focuses on three significant consulting specializations: human resources and IT, which are relevant to virtually any client company, and health care, a vast and complex industry. For those interested in a consulting career who want to know about options beyond strategy consulting, this book will tell them what they need to know. BUS075000
Average customer rating:
- top-notch info and writing
- Clear and Easy to Read
- A Wealth of Info
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The WetFeet Insider Guide to Careers in Information Technology
Wetfeet
Manufacturer: Wetfeet
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 1582073287 |
Book Description
At its broadest definition, "information technology" is an umbrella term that describes all fields that relate to the organization and dissemination of information: from the worker who lays cable wires to the telephone switchboard operator to the engineer who designs the circuits in your computer. However, keep in mind that just because IT is computer-related, it doesn't mean that a job in the field is necessarily with a computer-intensive company. In fact, the majority of the IT services jobs today are in fields that have little to do with high tech. What this means for you, the job seeker, is that opportunities are not limited to one industry but cross a wide variety of industries. Interested in taking on an IT role? Learn more by reading this brand new guide.
In it, you will find:
- Where the opportunities for entry are across various industries, from education to health care and the Internet
- What kind of skills and education are required to get hired
- What types of jobs you may want to consider, including creative, sales/marketing, support, and engineering positions
- What life is like as a UI designer, IT consultant, or engineer
- How to get in the door, and then put your best foot forward during your interviews
- More!
Customer Reviews:
top-notch info and writing.......2003-04-10
a job well done in terms of giving me a very detailed picture of the IT industry. well-written and well-balanced. i'm already in the IT industry but want to make a career switch from front-end development (been doing it for a year now) over to back-end development. of course, i'm talking to friends and colleagues and gathering their advice, but I thought it couldn't hurt to pick up this guide. in fact, it was really helpful. plus, it's always kinda hard to ask people about what they make, so the fact that this guide lays it out with job descriptions and salary ranges was very enlightening indeed.
Clear and Easy to Read.......2003-02-20
I found this guide really helpful in clarifying the various sectors of the Information Technology industry. It was all laid out in a clear and organized way and was very easy to read. The information is broken up into easy-to-digest paragraphs with bold headings, so after an initial read, you can skim through pretty easily to review the main ideas. The writing was professional, without being stuffy and it was even funny at times. But most importantly, it was genuinely informative.
A Wealth of Info.......2003-02-20
It's clear this guide was written by an expert. I definitely feel like I got my money's worth in that I had a few vague ideas on what job occupation was right for me, and now I know what specifically to pursue. I am now about to embark on classes in User Interface design and Java programming. With my new skills, I'm hoping to work my way into the IT department at my health care/insurance company.
Product Description
For centuries, gold has been considered a safe haven: it is tangible, unlike an account balance, and its value is relatively stable, especially as a hedge against inflation. To what degree should investors seek security in gold, or in other kinds of hard money? In the second part of this presentation we discuss the financial writers and gurus whose analysis and comments reflect, and sometimes influence, the world of finance and economics.
The Secrets of the Great Investors series is a collection of presentations that explain, in understandable language, the strategies, tactics, and principles that have produced great wealth, and how you can improve your financial future. History's greatest investors used powerful investing philosophies to produce superior results, and you can learn from their successes and mistakes.
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Profiting the Crown: Canada's Polymer Corporation, 1942-1990
Matthew J. Bellamy
Manufacturer: McGill-Queen's University Press
ProductGroup: Book
Binding: Paperback
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ASIN: 0773532013 |
Book Description
Born in the crucible of the Second World War, the Polymer Corporation - Canada's sole producer of synthetic rubber - played a critical role in the Canadian economy for over fifty years. Blending innovative science and technology with expert business and managerial strategies, Polymer kept Canada on the cutting-edge of international synthetic rubber developments. Recognizing the importance - and profitability - of this ground-breaking crown corporation, the government placed an image of its Sarnia plant on the back of the Canadian ten-dollar bill. Profiting the Crown traces the rise and evolution of Polymer Corporation until its sale in 1990 to the German chemical giant A.G. Bayer. Crown corporations are widely regarded as a Canadian invention, but the failures of many state-run enterprises in the twentieth century have led to the widely held position that government has no place in the boardrooms of the nation. Matthew Bellamy shows how Polymer was both a successful tool of public policy and a profitable economic enterprise, bringing to light the accomplishments of one of Canada's pioneering crown corporations.
Books:
- Handbook of Industrial Organization Volume 1 (Handbook of Industrial Organization)
- Hong Kong Business: The Portable Encyclopedia for Doing Business with Hong Kong (World Trade Press Country Business Guides)
- Human Resource Development: Strategy and tactics
- Imagined Economies: The Sources of Russian Regionalism (Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics)
- IMF Essays from a Time of Crisis: The International Financial System, Stabilization, and Development
- Individuals, Institutions, and Markets (Political Economy of Institutions and Decisions)
- Innovation and Institutions: A Multidisciplinary Review of the Study of Innovation Systems (New Horizons in the Economics of Innovation)
- Input-Output Economics
- Intellectual Trespassing as a Way of Life
- Involuntary Unemployment: The Elusive Quest for a Theory
Books Index
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